Insight Focus

  • Raw sugar speculators closed short positions and opened long positions.
  • White sugar speculators continue to increase net spec position.
  • However, with the recent drop in No.5 prices the white premium has decreased but still in uptrend.

New York No.11 (Raw Sugar)

  • The No.11 has dipped below 18 after trading around 18 c/lb to 18.4 c/lb last week.
  • Raw sugar speculators had closed over 8k lots of short positions and opened 11k long positions by the 13th of September.
  • The net spec position is now around 5k lots short.
  • Consumers have closed 6k lots whilst producers added 10k lots over the same period
  • The entire No.11 forward curve is now below last week’s.

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London No.5 (White Sugar)

  • By the end of last week, the No.5 price dropped to 540USD/mt.
  • The net spec position has reached 34k lots by the end of the 13th of September, reaching new height for 2022.
  • The No.5 forward curve is now below last week’s.

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White Premium (Arbitrage)

  • The white premium dropped to114 USD/mt, following the drop in No.5 prices.
  • Even with the drop in the white premium continues to be in uptrend and should be enough for some discretionary to start increasing their raw sugar demand and start re-exporting refined sugar.
  • Like last week, the next K/K and Q/Nwhite premiums are all trading above 110USD/mt, these are unusually high this far in advance of their expiry.

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For a more detailed view of the sugar futures and market data, please refer to the data appendix below.

No.11 (Raw Sugar) Appendix

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No.5 (White Sugar) Appendix

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White Premium Appendix

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Stephanie Rodriguez

Stephanie graduated from Babson College in 2020, with a bachelor’s degree in Operations Management and Data Analytics. She joined CZ in 2020 for a one year internship where she focused on developing dashboards, content and expanding our network in the Americas (excluding Brazil). Stephanie is responsible for writing content and capturing data for the Americas (excluding Brazil), presenting our market view to clients, and working on different consultancy projects.

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