• Despite rains in the middle of the fortnight, daily crush rate indicates high efficiency.
  • Another fortnight of record sugar output at 2.5mmt.
  • Sugar mix at 47.4% in line with estimates.

Summary Table 2H May

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Another Record Sugar Output

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  • Crushing totalled 42.2mmt in the 2H of May – rains in the middle of the fortnight impacted operations, which is why the figure is 5% below yoy.
  • Nonetheless, the remainder of the period was sunny enough to allow for a high efficiency.
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  • It has been raining below average in CS for the past 4 months – see our weekly weather update at Czapp Interactive Data.
  • Although the lack of rains is beneficial for harvesting operations and cane quality (read ATR), mills are reporting concerns over cane ag. yields from August onwards.
  • As CS enters the winter season, the likelihood of rains occurring diminishes – which means that perhaps the damage is done in some areas.
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  • As expected, CS is maximizing sugar production – another fortnight of record sugar output at 2.5mmt.
  • The cumulative mix in the 2H of May reached 45.9%, which is the highest level since 2006/07.

Ethanol Market

  • Hydrous sales by the mills reached 1.45bi litres in May.
  • Although it is a decrease of 30% yoy, the daily sales figure shows that a recovery is occurring.
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Ana Zancaner

Ana graduated from Insper University Sao Paulo in 2013, with a bachelor’s degree in business administration. She joined CZ as an intern in 2013 and is now our senior analyst in our Sao Paulo office. At CZ she is responsible mainly for analysis of the Brazilian sugar and ethanol sector but supporting other consulting requests as well.

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