• October whites container exports are down 11% YoY at 171kmt;
  • Tendency is for volumes to reduce over the upcoming months;
  • West African countries remain as top destinations;

Lowest Exports in 10 Years

  • Container shipments have been steady for the past 3 months, around 165kmt;
  • Despite the continuous pace, it is the lowest monthly volume of the past 10 years;
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  • October data showed that container exports totalled 171kmt – 11% down yoy;
  • Just a note on stats: container data has over 1 month delay which is why we are writing only now about October exports;
  • From now on, the expected tendency is down;
  • In Q4, whites production will be over (due to the end of the season in CS) and with a lower availability, export figure should follow the same trend;
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  • Looking at quality of whites exports out of Brazil, the majority is of crystal sugar, with the remainder composed of small volumes of refined, organic and direct consumption raws;

Destinations 

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  • Historically, the main destination for Brazilian white exports is Africa;
  • This has not changed, despite the reduction in volume of the usual main offtakers;
  • Meanwhile, other West African countries have increased demand but not enough to offset the decrease from other destinations.

White Sugar Export Profile 

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  • The tendency of white sugar exports in CS has moved towards container shipments;
  • Break bulk exports has diminished significantly each year due to the size of the shipments and most significantly due to terminal availability;
  • Terminals in CS (specially Santos) prefer to work with bulk cargos that are more efficient;
  • Meanwhile, in NNE the majority of white sugar exports are made via break bulk due to the terminals higher idle capacity.

Ana Zancaner

Ana graduated from Insper University Sao Paulo in 2013, with a bachelor’s degree in business administration. She joined CZ as an intern in 2013 and is now our senior analyst in our Sao Paulo office. At CZ she is responsible mainly for analysis of the Brazilian sugar and ethanol sector but supporting other consulting requests as well.

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