311 words / 2 minute reading time

• Indian should produce 26.5m tonnes of sugar this season.
• For the first time this season, crushing in Uttar Pradesh (UP) is starting to fall behind last year’s rate.
• The overall rate of production is now steeply declining across all other regions as well.

India’s Production Rate Continues to Decline  

• India has produced 23.3m tonnes of sugar to date; this is more than 6m tonnes behind last season’snumber.
• The rate of cumulative sugar production is slowing down, running almost parallel with the past two seasons.
• Only 186 mills remain crushing in India, down 22% on the number of operational mills this time last year.

• Despite the disruptions being caused by the recent nationwide lockdown measures, India’s production number has not significantly deviated from our estimates.

Uttar Pradesh: Slowing to a Jog  

• Total production in UP has already exceeded MH’s and Karnataka’s (KN) combined production number.
• Only 2.9m tonnes of production is left to meet our estimate, as 9.57m tonnes of sugar has been produced so far.
• UP’s production rate for the 19/20 season corresponds to that of the previous two seasons.

Maharashtra: Nearing the End   

• The Maharashtrian rate of sugar production has almost halved in the last fortnight.
• Production was nearing 5.9m tonnes before crushing rates started declining.
• We think MH will produce 6m tonnes of sugar this season.
• With only 28 mills left in operation, however, sugar production is still 50% behind the previous crop.

Karnataka: Nearing the End  

• Only 5% of the mills are still in operation.
• As expected, less than 100k tonnes of sugar has been crushed in the last fortnight.
• Production will fall around 25% short of last season’s rate.

Czapp’s Interactive Data Section  

To access this data in our Interactive Data section, select the tile highlighted in yellow below…

…and you’ll be taken to the latest crop production report.