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  • We have reduced our global sugar consumption estimate by nearly 2m tonnes this year due to the coronavirus pandemic. 
  • This means overall sugar consumption will now barely increase this year. 
  • We expect sugar consumption per capita to fall in 2020. 

Consumption is Decreasing

  • We have reduced our 2020 sugar consumption estimate by 5% in the following countries, which have imposed isolation or lockdown measures to prevent the spread of the virus. 
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  • This is due to the collapse in out-of-home food and drink consumption, and the difficulties faced in operating normal supply chains. 
  • The 5% reductions are a best-guess at this stage and are not wholly scientific. 
  • Further modifications may be required as we learn more information. 
  • We are likely to extend these reductions to other countries if/when they increase their isolation measures. 
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  • This means overall consumption in the 2019/20 season will hardly increase. 
  • Before the coronavirus outbreak, we thought consumption would increase by 1% this year! 
  • At this early stage we are forecasting a rebound in consumption next year once the world reverts to normal. We will also keep this under review. 
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  • Despite the reduction in consumption, sugar production in the 2019/20 season will still fall short of consumption by around 10m tonnes.
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Ben Seed

Ben joined CZ’s analysis team in 2016 on a year long internship before returning to the University of Bath to complete an Economics Degree. Since re-joining in August 2018, Ben has led the data insights team in expanding the range and quality of data available internally and to clients through CZ App. Ben spent 3 months in CZ’s Singapore and Bangkok offices to expand his knowledge of the region and help roll out the latest data processes. He is now also responsible for the Sugar Market View published each week on CZ App.

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