• Cumulative sugar production stands at 26.4mmt – 2.2% higher yoy;
  • Mills still in operation are drawing the last crop out of ethanol as possible;
  • Record ethanol mix for the fortnight at 23.06%;

Summary Table 

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This is the end 

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  • During the 2H of November, around 27% of CS mills where in operation – vs. 52% last season;
  • As a result, crush over the period has been the lowest for the past 9 year with 10.84mmt of cane processed;
  • Over the upcoming fortnights more mills will shut down for the crop – according to UNICA, by the end of December only around 6% in CS will still be operational;
  • The season in CS is virtually done;

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  • Despite an unusual high ATR (sugar content) for the period, the mills still in operation were able to draw out as much as possible of ethanol;
  • Sugar mix was the lowest since the start of our database (i.e. 1997/98) at 23.06%;

Hydrous Sales 

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  • Hydrous prices have been rising since September, and with it the price parity against gasohol;
  • The higher the relation, the less hydrous is competitive against the fossil fuel – changing consumption preferences;
  • However, parity is still below 70% and gasohol prices are high – both keep incentivizing hydrous demand;

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  • Hydrous sales at the 2H of November registered 993mi litres, posting both an increase against the previous fortnight and the year before – and another all-time high;

Corn Ethanol Production 

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  • Total corn ethanol production is 104% above yoy at 890mi litres;
  • The majority of the output remains focused on hydrous, with 618mi litres of production until the 2H of November;

Ana Zancaner

Ana graduated from Insper University Sao Paulo in 2013, with a bachelor’s degree in business administration. She joined CZ as an intern in 2013 and is now our senior analyst in our Sao Paulo office. At CZ she is responsible mainly for analysis of the Brazilian sugar and ethanol sector but supporting other consulting requests as well.

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