- People had worried that the monsoon was late and low rainfall would affect this year’s crop negatively.
- As it turns out, excessive rainfall in parts of Maharashtra has caused flooding.
- This could negatively affect the crop if it is prolonged, but for now rainfall is positive.
Rainfall Performance in Key Districts
- Rainfall in all key cane sugar areas are within the normal range except for Maharashtra.
- Rainfall in Maharashtra has increased sharply from 10% to 32% above normal levels over the last two weeks.
Monsoon Rainfall in Key Sugarcane States
- Torrential rains in Pune has led to cumulative rainfall 140% above normal levels and has caused flooding in some areas.
- Floods can negatively affect the sugar content in cane, however they would need to persist for longer before we look to revise down our sugar production.
- While rains in Solapur has disappointed, rains in Pune (nearby) have meant that the reservoir near Solapur is full, reducing the importance of the low
rainfall.
Maharashtra (Key Sugarcane Regions) – Monsoon Rainfall
MH & KN Reservoir Levels
- We expect Maharashtra’s production to be down by 40% y-o-y due to key reservoirs being dry since March.
- If they had remained dry we would have looked to revise down further.
- Fortunately, the Jakaywadi and Ujjani reservoirs have been completely filled within one week, negating that worry.
CZ 19/20 India Estimates
Key Cane Locations in Maharashtra
