• People had worried that the monsoon was late and low rainfall would affect this year’s crop negatively.
• As it turns out, excessive rainfall in parts of Maharashtra has caused flooding.
• This could negatively affect the crop if it is prolonged, but for now rainfall is positive.

 Rainfall Performance in Key Districts

• Rainfall in all key cane sugar areas are within the normal range except for Maharashtra.
• Rainfall in Maharashtra has increased sharply from 10% to 32% above normal levels over the last two weeks.

Monsoon Rainfall in Key Sugarcane States

• Torrential rains in Pune has led to cumulative rainfall 140% above normal levels and has caused flooding in some areas.
• Floods can negatively affect the sugar content in cane, however they would need to persist for longer before we look to revise down our sugar production.
• While rains in Solapur has disappointed, rains in Pune (nearby) have meant that the reservoir near Solapur is full, reducing the importance of the low
  rainfall.

Maharashtra (Key Sugarcane Regions) – Monsoon Rainfall

MH & KN Reservoir Levels  

• We expect Maharashtra’s production to be down by 40% y-o-y due to key reservoirs being dry since March.
• If they had remained dry we would have looked to revise down further.
• Fortunately, the Jakaywadi and Ujjani reservoirs have been completely filled within one week, negating that worry.

CZ 19/20 India Estimates

Key Cane Locations in Maharashtra