Insight Focus

  • China PET exports continue to surge following the easing of COVID restrictions in June.
  • Taiwanese exporters increase focus on the US, with 32% of exports US-bound in Q2.
  • US imports continue to post-multi-year highs, with over 50% from Mexico, Oman in Q2.

China’s Bottle-Grade PET Resin Market

Monthly Exports

  • Chinese bottle-grade PET exports hit over 399k tonnes in March, down 12.9% on the previous month, following the previous month’s record high, yet up an impressive 64% year on year.
  • Throughput at Chinese ports has bounced back since COVID-19 restrictions were eased, enabling Chinese PET exporters to ramp up delivery.
  • Major Chinese PET producers continue to report an oversold Q3, with full order books for August and September. As a result, export volumes are expected to remain high through Q3.

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  • Mexico was the largest destination for Chinese PET resin exports in June, recording over 26k tonnes, and more than double the previous month’s.
  • PET resin flows to Russia have also begun to rebounded, increasing 125% on the month and 38% on the year.
  • Exports to Algeria, traditionally a key export market for Chinese PET resin, remained robust in June at around 21k tonnes. Whilst volumes to UAE increased 32% in preparation for Eid in July.

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Quarterly Exports

  • Looking at the latest full quarter, Chinese bottle-grade PET resin exports totalled 1.17m tonnes in Q2’22, up 20% versus Q1 2022, and up 49% year on year.
  • By region, North America and Africa experienced the largest increases in quarterly exports in Q2, up 102% and 41%on the year, respectively.
  • By contrast, volumes to Central America and Russia fell 32% and 22%, respectively.

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Taiwan Bottle-Grade PET Resin Market

Quarterly Exports

  • Taiwanese PET resin exports totalled 287k tonnes in Q2, up 6% on the previous quarter and 12% year on year.
  • Japan remained the largest destination for Taiwanese resin, recording over 128k tonnes in Q2, up 14.5% from Q1.
  • Exports to the US continued to take a larger share in Q2, with volumes growing to over 91k tonnes, around 32% of total Taiwanese exports.

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  • Exports to other countries showed sizeable variations due to smaller trade volumes.
  • For example, exports to Vietnam and Peru fell 50% and 24%. respectively, whereas volumes to India and Australia jumped 42% and 17%, respectively.
  • The US and Japan made up over 76% of Taiwan’s total PET resin exports in Q2.

US Bottle-Grade PET Resin Market

Quarterly Imports

  • US bottle-grade PET imports totalled 287k tonnes in Q2’22, up 12% on the previous quarter and 32% year on year.
  • US demand for PET resin has remained strong through H1, limiting inventory build and resulting in multi-year high US imports.

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  • Origins with the greatest volumes in Q2 included Mexico, Oman, Egypt, and South Korea.
  • Whilst traditional flows from Mexico fell 5% from the previous quarter, volumes from Oman, Egypt, and South Korea surged, up 40%, 98%, and 67% respectively.
  • Flows from Oman have now hit record levels following Alpek’s acquisition of the Omani PET resin producer OCTAL.
  • These origins also took market share away from traditional Asian sources, including Taiwan and Vietnam, with volumes from these countries falling 15% and 47% respectively in Q2.
  • Continued strong summer demand is expected support high import levels in future month’s trade figures when available.

Quarterly Exports

  • US bottle-grade PET exports totalled 13.6k tonnes in Q2’22, up 38% on the previous quarter and 35% year on year.

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  • As is traditional, over 71% of the total export volume remained with North America with Canada the largest destination.
  • Around 8k tonnes was exported to Canada in Q2, accounting for the bulk of the increase, up 57% on the previous quarter. Whilst a further 1.6k tonnes went to Mexico
  • Given the continued strong summer demand exports may remain subdued into the next quarter.

Data Appendix

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If you have any questions, please get in touch with GLamb@czarnikow.com.

Gareth Lamb

Gareth joined CZ in 2021 and is CZ’s PET analyst and recycling specialist. As well as regularly reporting on key market trends and dynamics, Gareth is also developing new research products and analytics within the PET and rPET space. Prior to joining CZ, Gareth led Wood Mackenzie’s PET research service and was Senior Consultant at IHS Markit, working within the petrochemical consulting team. Dr. Lamb graduated from the University of St Andrews with a PhD in organometallic chemistry; and has a masters of Chemistry degree from the University of Liverpool.

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