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Oliver Chapman

Sugar
  • January 27, 2020

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 27th January 2020

The No.11 speculators have continued to increase their long position, ...

Sugar
  • January 20, 2020

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 20th January 2020

Large wave of spec buying in No.11 leads to 81k lot net long, the larg...

Sugar
  • January 17, 2020

Speculators are Long, What Next?

732 words / 4.5 minute reading time Speculators have moved from a larg...

Sugar
  • January 16, 2020

Brief Market Overview: Two Year Highs Reached

70 words / less than a minute reading time Prices have continued movin...

Sugar
  • January 13, 2020

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 13th January 2020

The No.11 speculative position reduced in the week before last Tuesday...

Sugar
  • January 9, 2020

Chart of the Fortnight: Record Exports From Russia Expected

90 words / less than a minute reading time This season, Russia will pr...

Sugar
  • January 7, 2020

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 7th January 2020

The net spec position in the No.11 has remained relatively static, jus...

Sugar
  • December 20, 2019

Brief Market Overview: Back at the Highs; What Next?

70 words / less than a minute reading time Prices in the last week hav...

Sugar
  • December 16, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 16th December 2019

The No.11 net speculative position increased by a huge 90k lots in the...

Ethanol
  • December 12, 2019

Chart of the Fortnight: Indian Ethanol Production Unlikely to Cause Sugar Deficit

76 words / less than a minute reading time The Indian Government has g...

Sugar
  • December 9, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 9th December 19

The speculators in the No.11 have continued to reduce their net short ...

Sugar
  • December 6, 2019

Brief Market Overview: Positive News Not the Full Picture

There are positive signs for sugar prices.  The US beet crop fail...

Sugar
  • December 3, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 3rd December 2019

In the past month the speculators have over halved their net position ...

  • November 29, 2019

Chart of the Fortnight: Brazilian Real Weakens to All-Time Low

86 words / less than a minute reading time The Brazilian Real (BRL) ha...

Sugar
  • November 25, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 25th November 2019

As expected the Speculators in the No.11 used the week preceding the 1...

Ethanol Sugar
  • November 20, 2019

Chart of the Fortnight: Why is Brazil Producing More Sugar Than Expected?

159 words / 1 minute reading time Brazil are producing more sugar than...

Sugar
  • November 18, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 18th November 2019

ICE No.11 Futures Speculative Positioning (values as of 12th November ...

Sugar
  • November 14, 2019

Brief Market Overview: The Range Consensus

There seems to be a strong consensus in the sugar market that prices a...

Sugar
  • November 11, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 11th November 2019

Speculators remain heavily short of the raw sugar market, which itself...

Sugar
  • November 11, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 11th November 2019

Speculators remain heavily short of the raw sugar market, which itself...

Sugar
  • November 7, 2019

Chart of the Fortnight: Record Brazil Stocks to be Shipped

This season, CS Brazil has reached a record amount of raw sugar in sto...

Sugar
  • November 4, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 4th November 2019

The No.11 net speculative position has reduced by 8k lots to 195k lots...

Sugar
  • October 31, 2019

Brief Market Overview: Record Sugar Stocks Split Sugar Week

Prices through the past fortnight have remained rangebound. Some in th...

Sugar
  • October 28, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 28th October 2019

The No.11 net speculative position has reduced by 30k lots this week a...

Sugar
  • October 20, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 21st October 2019

Speculators are now long the refined sugar markets for the first time ...

Sugar
  • October 13, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 14th October 2019

The No.11 speculators stopped buying back last week and increased thei...

Sugar
  • October 9, 2019

Chart of the Fortnight: Global Raw Sugar Demand Destruction

Global demand for raw sugar has been shrinking. This is easiest to vis...

Sugar
  • October 6, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 7th October 2019

In the last two weeks the No.11 speculative position has increased by ...

Sugar
  • October 2, 2019

Brief Market Overview: Sugar Stock Trapped in India

The market has rallied to its strongest position since March. There is...

Sugar
  • September 29, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 30th September 2019

The No.11 net speculative short position reduced by 20k lots throughou...

Ethanol
  • September 25, 2019

Chart of the Fortnight: Brazil Ready with Spare 10m Tonnes of Capacity

The CS Brazilian industry has produced a record amount of ethanol for ...

Sugar
  • September 22, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 23rd September 2019

The record net speculative position has increased further throughout l...

Sugar
  • September 18, 2019

Brief Market Overview: Saudi Oil Airstrikes Provide Let-Up in Price Pressure

Record short speculative positions have pushed both the raws and white...

Sugar
  • September 15, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update, 16th September 2019

The No.11 net speculative positioning has reduced to a record -219k lo...

Sugar
  • September 10, 2019

Chart of the Fortnight: CS Record Brazil Raws Availability

Despite Brazilian sugar production expected to be the lowest for over ...

Sugar
  • September 8, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 9th September 2019

We wrote last week that the increase in No.11 Open Interest might allo...

Sugar
  • September 3, 2019

Brief Market Overview: India Subsidises Exports Again

India is weighing on the market with up to 6m tonnes of sugar eligible...

Sugar
  • September 1, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 2nd September 2019

The net speculative short position in raw sugar has climbed above -180...

Sugar
  • September 1, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 2nd September 2019

The net speculative short position in raw sugar has climbed above -180...

  • August 28, 2019

Chart of the Fortnight: BRL Weakness Could Pressure No.11

The BRL has weakened drastically in the past couple of weeks. This mak...

  • August 28, 2019

Chart of the Fortnight: BRL Weakness Could Pressure No.11

The BRL has weakened drastically in the past couple of weeks. This mak...

Sugar
  • August 26, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 27th August 2019

The No.11 speculators are close to their record net short with the mar...

Sugar
  • August 20, 2019

Brief Market Overview: Poor Weather Yet to Change Outlook

Poor weather in India and Thailand could reduce 2019/20 production exp...

Grains
  • August 18, 2019

Corn Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 19th August 2019

Corn Futures Speculative Positioning Corn Futures Commerical Positioni...

Sugar
  • August 18, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 19th August 2019

The No.11 speculative position has remained balanced over the past wee...

Sugar
  • August 14, 2019

Chart of the Fortnight: Chinese Price Rally Illustrates Smuggling Slowdown

The Chinese domestic price has increased by 13% over the past month in...

Sugar
  • August 11, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 12th August 2019

Speculators have added 15k lots to their short position, throughout th...

Sugar
  • August 6, 2019

Brief Market Overview: Time Needed to Reduce Stocks

We expect a 4.6m tonne worldwide production/consumption deficit for 20...

Sugar
  • August 4, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 5th August 2019

After trying and failing to push price lower than the 6-month range sp...

Sugar
  • July 30, 2019

Chart of the Fortnight: Indian Refined Sugar Availability

Indian Refiners have had lots of refined sugar available for world mar...

Sugar
  • July 28, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 29th July 2019

As of last Tuesday the No.11 net spec position had reached close to a ...

Sugar
  • July 24, 2019

Brief Market Overview: Weak White Sugar Prices

The white sugar market reduced last week to 10-year lows, well below U...

Sugar
  • July 21, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 22nd July 2019

The No.11 net spec position has decreased by 28k lots to 112k lots sho...

Sugar
  • July 15, 2019

Chart of the Fortnight: Global Stocks Still Too High

 In the last decade, global sugarstocks have increased by 34m ton...

Sugar
  • July 14, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 15th July 2019

The No.11 net spec position is 84k lots short, less than half the 2019...

Sugar
  • July 9, 2019

Brief Market Overview: Prices Reliant on India

There is a lot of sugar available to the market over the next 9 months...

Sugar
  • July 8, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 9th July 2019

The speculative position in the No.11 has remained stagnant this week,...

Sugar
  • July 1, 2019

Chart of the Fortnight: Global Raw Sugar Demand Destruction

Global demand for raw sugar has been shrinking.    This is e...

Sugar
  • June 30, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 1st July 2019

The No.11 speculators have now halved their position in a month withou...

Sugar
  • June 25, 2019

Brief Market Overview: Waiting for the Indian Monsoon

The whites market remains oversupplied.  Following the recent ral...

Sugar
  • June 23, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 24th June 2019

ICE No.11 Futures Speculative Positioning (values as of 18th June 2019...

  • June 18, 2019

Chart of the Fortnight: Low Indian Reservoir Levels

Reservoir Levels in Maharashtra Maharashtra irrigation reservoir level...

Sugar
  • June 16, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 17th June 2019

ICE No.11 Futures Speculative Positioning (values as of 11th June 2019...

Sugar
  • June 11, 2019

Brief Market Overview: Weather Risk Returns

Prices have rebounded by more than 5% recently. This is due to the ris...

Sugar
  • June 9, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 10th June 2019

ICE No.11 Futures Speculative Positioning (values as of 4th June 2019)...

Sugar
  • June 4, 2019

Chart of the Fortnight: Record Thai Raws Availability

Thailand has produced a record amount of raw sugar this season. High r...

Sugar
  • June 2, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update

No.11 Speculators have continued to hold a position close to the recor...

Sugar
  • May 28, 2019

Oversupply to Continue Without Adverse Weather – Brief Market Overview

The market has struggled to break through $320/mt recently, although m...

Sugar
  • May 27, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 28th May 2019

The spec position has continued to fall however the No.11 price did no...

Sugar
  • May 19, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 20th May 2019

The spec position has been pushed further down to 158k lots short, dec...

Sugar
  • May 15, 2019

Range Just About Holding (Brief Market Overview)

The market has just about held in the recent range and hasn’t ma...

Sugar
  • May 12, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update

Specs have increased their gross short position in the No.11, meaning ...

Sugar
  • May 6, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 7th May 2019

No.11 utures Speculative Positionng (values as of 30th April 2019) ICE...

Sugar
  • May 1, 2019

Less Supply, But Still Oversupplied (Brief Market Overview)

The whites market remains rangebound but the top seems to be lowering....

Sugar
  • April 28, 2019

Sugar Futures Positioning and CFTC Update 29th April 2019

No.11 Futures Speculative Positioning (values as of 23rd April 2019) I...

Sugar
  • April 17, 2019

Peak Stocks Could Move Prices Lower

The market is still rangebound but there is heavy pressure to push it ...

Sugar
  • April 2, 2019

Oversupply Looming

The No.5 refined sugar market has returned about $330 but oversupply l...

Sugar
  • March 20, 2019

Months of Boredom Punctuated by Moments of Terror

The market has remained rangebound for much of the past 6 months and l...

Ethanol Sugar
  • March 7, 2019

Producer Selling Pressure Caps Market

After moving higher due to technical (computer driven) trading the mar...

Sugar
  • February 20, 2019

India News Moves the Ceiling

After struggling to maintain levels above USD350/mt for the last 3 mon...

Sugar
  • February 8, 2019

Whites Market Oversupplied

The market has remained very rangebound recently.  Retail interes...

Sugar
  • January 24, 2019

All Eyes On India for a Breakout

The futures range has been narrowng in recent months (see chart below)...

Sugar
  • January 10, 2019

What could break the range?

Prices have remained rangebound but have moved up in the past couple o...

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