Months of Boredom Punctuated by Moments of Terror

  • The market has remained rangebound for much of the past 6 months and looks unlikely to break out soon. 
  • The floor to the range feels more vulnerable with worldwide stocks so high. 
  • However, we have seen China buy raws whenever the market dips to USD330/mt, supporting the market. 
  • On top of this it seems consumers are happy to buy when the market gets down to these levels. 
  • To the upside Indian exports and Thai pricing comes to the market at USD350/mt providing some resistance. 
  • If prices manage to move over USD375/mt then pricing from Brazil and sugar production increasing should provide a cap to the market.  

 

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