价格再次反弹失败给市场带来了沉重的压力,随着今天宏观的疲软(原油价格的进一步下跌),开盘时价格大幅下跌,但商业买盘在18.50美分附近的支撑下,促使价格有所回升。上午的价格都维持这一区间,吸引了少量买盘,但复苏是短暂的,而美国投机盘的介入使得抛售兴趣增加,将价格压低到日内新低。价格从18.45美分开始仍有相当规模的买盘,这个价位是近期的双底水平,价格再没有超过18.46美分低点。虽然价格回升的兴趣不强,但目前足以表明短期内交易者过得很艰难。与此同时,7月合约下周到期,利差走强,因为全天稳定的买盘导致7/10月合约价差在下午一度升至平价,之后小幅回落,以-0.04点收盘。整个下午价格都维持在18.45美分的上方,10月合约价格收于18.49美分。又是一个疲软的表现,似乎还需要进一步测试支撑位,目前投机多头持仓大幅减少,基金仍然不愿转向做空,如果有机会的话,商业买家还是会热衷于在较低的水平入市。 

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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