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我们目前认为印度将压榨 4.2 亿吨甘蔗,同比增加 2645 万吨。
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由此,糖厂应该能够生产 2980 万吨糖(该产量已经计算 340 万吨糖转为乙醇生产之后的产量),故2022/23榨季印度产糖量预计同比减少 74 万吨。
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2021/22 年的印度总消费量将达到 2564 万吨,则产量将比满足国内需求所需的糖量多 出440 万吨。
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这意味着印度可能会出口过剩的产糖量。
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就目前而言,印度原糖出口价格应高于 20.6 美分/磅的原糖和 516 美元/吨的白糖。我们将继续在 Czapp印度出口平价工具 监测印度糖出口的合理性。
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